Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.324609 0.430706 0.547230 0.682663 0.833917 0.996062 1.181530
2025-06-22 0.166208 0.297468 0.461157 0.669482 0.918904 1.201030 1.538109
2025-06-29 0.090021 0.220282 0.402783 0.651739 0.964134 1.329371 1.776806
2025-07-06 0.056890 0.189157 0.393985 0.688111 1.069090 1.523990 2.089846
2025-07-13 0.037070 0.169839 0.395230 0.732580 1.180156 1.722797 2.405104
2025-07-20 0.022488 0.152049 0.394204 0.770885 1.281292 1.908197 2.703551
2025-07-27 0.016221 0.149382 0.415235 0.838790 1.419952 2.139160 3.056302
2025-08-03 0.009268 0.138605 0.420455 0.882714 1.526352 2.329794 3.360316
2025-08-10 0.002645 0.116478 0.401860 0.889410 1.581768 2.455873 3.585464
2025-08-17 NaN 0.080113 0.348168 0.838274 1.555822 2.477210 3.681045
2025-08-24 NaN 0.049496 0.294278 0.780156 1.515809 2.477449 3.748105
2025-08-31 NaN 0.033695 0.266585 0.760390 1.526674 2.541025 3.891768
2025-09-07 NaN 0.026551 0.260326 0.778588 1.595423 2.685073 4.142923
2025-09-14 NaN 0.016593 0.239401 0.769485 1.624418 2.777684 4.331013
2025-09-21 NaN 0.008218 0.214163 0.749009 1.634447 2.843584 4.483979
2025-09-28 NaN 0.007105 0.220895 0.788498 1.733994 3.028813 4.788365
2025-10-05 NaN 0.006769 0.231808 0.836107 1.845884 3.230710 5.114138
2025-10-12 NaN 0.005977 0.239384 0.877168 1.947939 3.419560 5.423526
2025-10-19 NaN 0.007562 0.262897 0.949741 2.097993 3.673065 5.815504
2025-10-26 NaN 0.007177 0.273321 0.996597 2.209113 3.874433 6.141290
2025-11-02 NaN 0.004283 0.263881 1.003733 2.259657 3.994334 6.363295
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000436 0.225491 0.949191 2.213982 3.983316 6.417248
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.186479 0.887082 2.153231 3.949622 6.440366